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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+3.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.79+1.21vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+3.75vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.07vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63-1.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-0.85vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.95-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.40-3.51vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.85-0.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.40-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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7.73Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Hawaii1.400.0%1st Place
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11.7California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 15.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| John Coakley | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 14.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 19.7% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 2.4% |
| Kai Galli | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 43.7% | 34.5% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 26.1% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.