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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+4.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47-0.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-2.32vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.63-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.95+0.67vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.40-2.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-3.51vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.85-0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.40-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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4.17Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.68Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Hawaii1.400.0%1st Place
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7.49Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.72California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at San Diego-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 16.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 19.5% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 10.3% | 1.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Kai Galli | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 43.6% | 34.7% |
| Chase Verstuyft | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 26.8% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.