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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+3.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+1.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.40+1.65vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.14-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.95-1.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-3.16vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.85-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.75Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Hawaii1.400.0%1st Place
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7.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.84Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.34California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 18.3% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 19.0% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Kai Galli | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 3.7% |
| Louise Currie | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| Michael Pacholski | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 26.8% | 7.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.