Race 10B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Soren Wilde 10.2% 10.5% 12.1% 9.6% 11.8% 13.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.3% 4.1% 2.5% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 18.6% 19.0% 15.6% 13.7% 9.9% 9.0% 6.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
James Barry 19.5% 17.9% 16.4% 13.2% 11.0% 9.5% 5.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Louise Currie 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.4% 9.0% 9.7% 9.1% 13.0% 12.7% 13.1% 11.7% 2.2%
Michael Pacholski 7.5% 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.6% 10.2% 11.0% 8.0% 7.7% 4.9% 0.7%
John Coakley 11.1% 11.0% 10.9% 12.3% 12.7% 10.6% 11.0% 9.2% 5.5% 3.6% 2.0% 0.1%
Sam Shannon 14.0% 13.9% 13.1% 13.1% 10.9% 8.9% 9.5% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Kai Galli 4.4% 4.9% 4.4% 5.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.7% 11.5% 13.6% 16.2% 12.7% 4.1%
Jennifer Killian 3.5% 3.0% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 13.7% 16.3% 13.8% 2.1%
David Cornella 4.4% 4.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 6.6% 11.2% 8.8% 16.4% 16.1% 13.6% 2.7%
Connor Hughes 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 3.7% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 12.7% 15.6% 28.2% 9.2%
Joshua Steward 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 9.1% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.