Race 11B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Coakley 11.4% 12.0% 11.4% 11.7% 13.6% 11.4% 9.9% 8.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 13.8% 14.8% 13.4% 13.8% 11.6% 9.4% 10.3% 7.0% 3.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 16.3% 15.6% 15.1% 13.5% 12.2% 10.6% 7.9% 4.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Kai Galli 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 4.8% 8.1% 9.0% 10.9% 12.3% 14.3% 15.2% 11.1% 2.2%
Michael Pacholski 7.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.0% 9.7% 11.7% 9.5% 11.0% 8.5% 6.8% 3.1% 0.4%
Soren Wilde 12.0% 10.1% 12.6% 11.3% 13.3% 11.1% 10.6% 8.7% 5.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Sophie Hibben 22.2% 19.8% 15.5% 13.3% 9.3% 7.9% 6.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.7% 11.8% 16.1% 14.1% 9.1% 3.5%
David Cornella 3.8% 3.3% 5.0% 7.2% 7.0% 9.7% 11.1% 12.2% 14.1% 15.7% 9.4% 1.5%
Annie Johnson 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 3.1% 4.4% 5.7% 8.7% 11.3% 16.4% 28.9% 11.4%
Connor Hughes 2.5% 2.2% 2.6% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 6.4% 9.4% 15.0% 17.1% 22.3% 7.6%
Joshua Steward 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 4.2% 12.2% 73.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.