Race 12B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Alexander 16.1% 14.5% 14.5% 14.6% 13.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 20.3% 19.7% 16.1% 14.2% 10.3% 7.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Pacholski 9.7% 7.5% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 12.5% 12.9% 11.7% 8.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.1%
John Coakley 10.2% 13.3% 14.3% 11.9% 12.5% 8.7% 11.5% 8.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
David Cornella 4.5% 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 8.2% 10.3% 12.8% 11.4% 16.9% 11.1% 3.3%
Soren Wilde 11.3% 12.3% 10.8% 12.2% 11.8% 13.5% 9.3% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Kai Galli 4.3% 5.8% 4.4% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.7% 14.7% 14.8% 10.1% 3.4%
Sam Shannon 15.9% 13.4% 14.3% 11.6% 12.1% 10.1% 9.8% 6.0% 4.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.1% 14.1% 14.4% 15.4% 9.9% 1.3%
Annie Johnson 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 2.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.8% 13.8% 15.1% 30.3% 10.5%
Connor Hughes 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 10.7% 13.4% 18.7% 20.6% 8.1%
Joshua Steward 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 3.4% 4.1% 12.3% 73.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.