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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.22+4.04vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.24+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.81-1.69vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.14-0.91vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.80-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.60-1.79vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.87-5.19vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04University of Oregon1.220.1%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.04Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Washington2.810.4%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.82Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Kuhlman | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 3.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 13.9% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matt Marquardt | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Darrin | 38.3% | 26.0% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 5.9% |
| Sara Welsh | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 9.2% |
| Jake Antles | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 13.2% |
| Paul Foley | 14.8% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.