← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.47+1.83vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+0.65vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California0.85+3.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.44+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.39+1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.43+0.34vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.13vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+0.71vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.62vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.34vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.93vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.59-2.81vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.88-2.29vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-3.28-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
-
2.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.3%1st Place
-
6.19University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
4.79University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
-
4.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
7.52University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
9.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
10.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.880.0%1st Place
-
14.36Arizona State University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 28.1% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 30.4% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Niemisto | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 1.1% |
| Marina Lindsay | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 36.5% | 16.2% |
| Garrison Murphy | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.