← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.33+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+3.58vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.43vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+3.34vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.92vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-1.57vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-0.66vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.66vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.31-1.39vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+0.28vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.55vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California-0.16-3.15vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.62-3.03vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
-
5.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
5.92University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.1%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
7.61University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.97Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
-
11.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 34.5% | 23.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Roudebush | 12.5% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Leah Ford | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Claire Hunt | 13.2% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.9% |
| David Luu | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 32.8% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 10.6% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 21.5% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.