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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.97+2.84vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+2.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.02+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.81-1.59vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14+0.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.24-0.83vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.80-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.60-1.65vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Oregon1.970.1%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.41University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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5.25Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.17Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balter | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Paul Foley | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Darrin | 34.8% | 27.1% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 3.5% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 22.4% | 9.4% |
| Jake Antles | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 25.2% | 14.8% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.