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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.31+5.29vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+4.28vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.86vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-2.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.53vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.20vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20+0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.16-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.18-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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7.29University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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7.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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5.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.2%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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10.21Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.8University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 33.1% | 24.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Lausten | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Claire Hunt | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 32.6% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| David Luu | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 30.5% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.