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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.18+9.25vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.11+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-0.61vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.71vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.31-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-0.16-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-1.75vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20-1.59vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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11.25University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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7.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.6University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.98Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 34.0% | 24.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Luu | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 29.7% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Claire Hunt | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 15.1% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 32.2% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.