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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-0.16+7.75vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+0.60vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.18+5.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.46vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.31-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.16vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-3.67vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.85vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.6University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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5.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
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11.5University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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11.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.03Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Peter Wong | 33.9% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Hunt | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Luu | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 31.5% |
| Leah Ford | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 32.3% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.