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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.80vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+1.73vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.11+1.45vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.31-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California-0.16-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.62-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.93vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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7.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.13Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 34.2% | 23.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Hunt | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Hopper | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| David Luu | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 32.8% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 11.4% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.