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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.57vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.11+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.16+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.31+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-4.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.43-3.51vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-2.34vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.62+0.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-5.19vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20-0.54vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.1%1st Place
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8.7University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.1%1st Place
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10.19Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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11.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Hunt | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Wong | 32.7% | 25.1% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% |
| Joseph Lausten | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 31.3% |
| Cullen Quine | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| David Luu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 23.4% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.