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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.33+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.75vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+2.68vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+2.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.39vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.65vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.20+2.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.31-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.16-3.15vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.62-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.18-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Southern California2.330.3%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.500.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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6.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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7.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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5.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Southern California-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.97Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Wong | 34.5% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Hunt | 14.1% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Cassandra Isaacson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 32.1% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 12.9% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Freeman | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
| David Luu | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.