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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.81+0.59vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.97-0.26vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14+0.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.24-0.82vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.80-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.60-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Oregon1.970.2%1st Place
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5.24Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.06Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Darrin | 31.6% | 25.1% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Balter | 15.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 3.4% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 9.4% |
| Jake Antles | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 25.4% | 15.1% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 15.8% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.