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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Papert 15.1% 18.8% 18.2% 18.8% 15.5% 8.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.0% 6.0% 5.2% 8.2% 13.2% 18.7% 23.0% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.9% 23.0% 22.1% 14.0% 6.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.9% 23.0% 22.1% 14.0% 6.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashlynd Epstein 3.6% 4.4% 6.4% 10.1% 12.9% 18.6% 23.2% 20.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 11.1% 14.3% 18.3% 19.0% 17.6% 13.5% 4.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 30.3% 25.1% 19.4% 13.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 5.0% 5.4% 6.1% 10.9% 16.2% 19.0% 20.8% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.0% 6.0% 5.2% 8.2% 13.2% 18.7% 23.0% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Moreno 2.0% 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 10.2% 16.3% 22.6% 36.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.