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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.70+2.48vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.71+3.84vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.36-0.41vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.36-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.65-0.23vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.51-3.15vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-5.44vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-0.49-3.49vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.71-4.16vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Rice University0.700.2%1st Place
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5.84Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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2.59Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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2.59Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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5.77University of Texas-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.85Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.56Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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5.51University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.84Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.4Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Papert | 15.1% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 22.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 29.9% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 29.9% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashlynd Epstein | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 30.3% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 22.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 36.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.