Race 4A

seisa-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Morgan Frakes 3.2% 4.6% 6.3% 10.3% 13.8% 17.5% 22.4% 21.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 28.4% 26.6% 20.0% 13.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 28.4% 26.6% 20.0% 13.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 28.5% 26.7% 19.5% 13.7% 7.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 12.3% 14.1% 17.1% 17.8% 18.2% 12.2% 6.1% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 4.2% 4.8% 7.3% 10.3% 16.5% 21.0% 20.5% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Papert 16.3% 16.3% 19.4% 19.0% 14.0% 10.2% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.2% 4.6% 6.3% 10.3% 13.8% 17.5% 22.4% 21.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashlynd Epstein 4.3% 3.8% 6.6% 9.5% 13.6% 16.9% 22.3% 23.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Moreno 2.8% 3.1% 3.8% 5.9% 9.3% 16.3% 22.5% 36.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.