Race 5A

seisa-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Morgan Frakes 3.0% 5.4% 6.2% 10.6% 12.8% 17.9% 23.4% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 31.6% 24.9% 19.3% 13.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 13.2% 15.2% 18.2% 17.3% 16.3% 11.8% 5.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Papert 15.6% 19.4% 17.6% 17.8% 14.8% 8.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Harris Cram 24.7% 22.3% 19.7% 15.5% 10.6% 5.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 31.6% 24.9% 19.3% 13.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashlynd Epstein 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 10.0% 14.3% 19.8% 20.0% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 5.1% 5.3% 8.0% 10.1% 15.4% 16.9% 21.7% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.0% 5.4% 6.2% 10.6% 12.8% 17.9% 23.4% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Moreno 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 9.0% 16.8% 22.6% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.