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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.71+4.79vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.36+0.60vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.36-0.40vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34-1.40vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.70-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.65-0.21vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.51-3.21vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.71-2.21vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15-3.50vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-0.49-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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2.6Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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2.6Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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2.6Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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3.56Rice University0.700.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Texas-0.650.0%1st Place
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3.79Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.79Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frakes | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 28.9% | 26.0% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 28.9% | 26.0% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 28.4% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Papert | 15.3% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashlynd Epstein | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 12.7% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 42.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Varga | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.