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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Shaw 29.3% 26.4% 20.1% 13.5% 6.9% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Shaw 29.3% 26.4% 20.1% 13.5% 6.9% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Watts 28.0% 26.7% 18.2% 15.2% 8.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Papert 15.0% 16.0% 20.6% 18.8% 14.8% 10.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.2% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 14.7% 18.8% 23.8% 21.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashlynd Epstein 3.5% 4.4% 6.2% 8.5% 14.9% 19.9% 23.2% 19.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Moreno 3.1% 2.7% 3.1% 5.9% 10.3% 15.2% 20.5% 39.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 4.3% 5.3% 7.1% 11.4% 14.0% 19.4% 21.8% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 13.6% 13.3% 19.3% 19.3% 16.3% 10.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 3.2% 5.2% 5.4% 7.4% 14.7% 18.8% 23.8% 21.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.