← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University0.36+1.98vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University-0.40+2.52vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University-0.40+1.52vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University0.36-1.02vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University0.26-1.84vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-1.34+0.08vs Predicted
-
7Rice University-1.42-0.83vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-0.17-4.17vs Predicted
-
9University of Texas-0.42-4.62vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-3.01vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98Texas A&M University0.360.3%1st Place
-
4.52Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.52Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
2.98Texas A&M University0.360.3%1st Place
-
3.16Tulane University0.260.2%1st Place
-
6.08University of Texas-1.340.1%1st Place
-
6.17Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
3.83Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
-
6.99Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
-
6.89University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Hawk | 25.6% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 25.6% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 22.5% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 15.0% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bik | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 32.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Johnson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 28.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.