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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.40+3.37vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.36+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.42+1.40vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.36-0.86vs Predicted
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5Rice University-1.42+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.340.00vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-3.14vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.40-3.63vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.26-5.87vs Predicted
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10University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-3.12vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.14Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.14Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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6.22Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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3.86Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.13Tulane University0.260.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.0Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Pepper | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 21.7% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bik | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 21.7% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 15.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 24.1% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Johnson | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 29.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 32.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.