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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.59+1.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.50+0.35vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+0.26vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-0.58vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.86-1.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Hamilton College0.5932.8%1st Place
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2.35SUNY Maritime College0.5031.9%1st Place
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3.26Columbia University-0.1315.2%1st Place
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5.02SUNY Stony Brook-1.304.7%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.877.4%1st Place
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4.43Stevens Institute of Technology-0.866.0%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Military Academy-2.272.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 32.8% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 31.9% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 15.2% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 29.3% | 19.3% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 9.4% |
| Oscar McMahan | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 8.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.