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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.94+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Florida2.84+1.47vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology1.99+1.85vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University0.66+3.08vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.17-2.30vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.46-0.26vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.64+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.42-2.08vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.00-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Rollins College1.940.1%1st Place
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3.47University of Florida2.840.2%1st Place
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4.85Florida Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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7.08Embry-Riddle University0.660.0%1st Place
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2.7Eckerd College3.170.3%1st Place
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5.74University of South Florida1.460.0%1st Place
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7.26Jacksonville University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.420.1%1st Place
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3.02Eckerd College3.000.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Hoyt | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Max Famiglietti | 15.4% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Adam Harris | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Jeff Unknown | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 33.2% |
| Niklas Anderson | 30.5% | 24.3% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 9.5% |
| Michael Todd | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 24.4% | 36.5% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 24.1% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.