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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.81+0.60vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.24+1.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87-1.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.14-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon1.97-3.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.80-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.60-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.60-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.6University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Oregon1.970.2%1st Place
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6.03Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 15.5% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Darrin | 30.9% | 25.9% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Marquardt | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Paul Foley | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Balter | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 9.4% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 64.5% |
| Jake Antles | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 26.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.