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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carson Pepper 13.3% 15.1% 12.7% 16.4% 15.2% 12.6% 8.9% 5.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
David Graf 20.2% 24.7% 19.1% 16.0% 9.0% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tracy Hawk 28.6% 21.0% 19.7% 14.2% 9.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tracy Hawk 28.6% 21.0% 19.7% 14.2% 9.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 17.0% 17.2% 17.5% 16.7% 14.6% 8.5% 5.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Busch 4.3% 6.0% 8.4% 10.0% 11.2% 14.6% 15.1% 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Dirksmeyer 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 6.3% 8.0% 12.1% 14.4% 21.4% 26.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 13.3% 15.1% 12.7% 16.4% 15.2% 12.6% 8.9% 5.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 4.8% 5.1% 7.0% 8.9% 10.6% 17.1% 17.6% 18.0% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Lisanne Hoekstra 4.9% 3.5% 6.8% 6.9% 11.9% 12.5% 17.4% 17.3% 18.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Johnson 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.6% 9.9% 11.8% 15.6% 19.8% 26.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.