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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carson Pepper 12.2% 11.0% 14.2% 12.8% 16.6% 12.9% 11.7% 6.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Tracy Hawk 21.1% 21.3% 18.0% 16.2% 11.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 4.3% 4.4% 5.6% 8.4% 8.7% 12.8% 18.8% 19.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tracy Hawk 21.1% 21.3% 18.0% 16.2% 11.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
David Graf 22.0% 22.2% 16.5% 16.4% 10.5% 5.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Bik 12.3% 13.7% 14.5% 13.3% 12.3% 14.1% 9.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 7.1% 6.3% 9.7% 8.9% 13.2% 15.8% 17.2% 14.4% 7.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Dirksmeyer 3.1% 3.0% 2.6% 4.8% 5.5% 9.8% 13.6% 21.2% 36.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Johnson 3.2% 3.0% 3.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.8% 12.5% 25.3% 30.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 12.2% 11.0% 14.2% 12.8% 16.6% 12.9% 11.7% 6.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Bristow 14.7% 15.1% 15.2% 13.3% 15.1% 13.9% 8.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.