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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.36+2.02vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.26+1.27vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.40+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.42+0.24vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.36-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.340.00vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.17-4.12vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.40-4.63vs Predicted
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10Rice University-1.42-3.68vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.27Tulane University0.260.2%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.02Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Texas-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.88Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.37Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.32Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.0Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Hawk | 24.9% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 20.5% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bik | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 24.9% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 14.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 32.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Johnson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 30.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.