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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.36+1.96vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.40+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.42+1.40vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.36-1.04vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.26-1.96vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.17-2.18vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-0.04vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.40-3.48vs Predicted
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9Rice University-1.42-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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4.52Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
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2.96Texas A&M University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.04Tulane University0.260.2%1st Place
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3.82Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
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6.96Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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4.52Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.31Rice University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Hawk | 24.6% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bik | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tracy Hawk | 24.6% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Graf | 23.4% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Busch | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Johnson | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 30.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.