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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.71+2.97vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.43+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.36vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.43-1.21vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.21vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-2.91vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.71-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.79Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.79Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
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1.79Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.5%1st Place
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3.09Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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3.97Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frakes | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 49.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 16.4% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.9% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 28.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 16.4% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 51.2% | 27.6% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 49.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.