← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University-0.71+2.99vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.08+1.15vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-1.24vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University0.43-1.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.63vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University0.43-3.27vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-0.71-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.99Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
3.15Texas A&M University at Galveston0.080.1%1st Place
-
1.76Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.5%1st Place
-
2.73Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
-
3.37University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
-
2.73Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
-
3.99Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frakes | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 49.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Octavio Frisoli Rodriguez | 12.5% | 19.0% | 25.7% | 26.6% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 52.4% | 26.6% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 18.6% | 27.7% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.6% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 26.3% | 24.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 18.6% | 27.7% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 49.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.