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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.71+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.09+1.38vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-1.23vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.43-1.25vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.43-2.25vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.16-2.88vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.71-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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1.77Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.5%1st Place
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2.75Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
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2.75Texas A&M University0.430.2%1st Place
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3.12Texas A&M University at Galveston0.160.1%1st Place
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3.98Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frakes | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 48.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 9.6% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 28.7% | 22.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Thompson | 52.5% | 25.6% | 15.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 18.5% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 18.5% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Braly | 13.4% | 20.8% | 24.5% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 48.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.