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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.23+2.10vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.51+0.65vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32+0.76vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68-1.54vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.17-1.30vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.51-3.35vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-3.30vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.60-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
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2.65Texas A&M University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.76Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.46Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.3%1st Place
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3.7Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.65Texas A&M University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.7Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
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5.33Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Wiechart | 18.0% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 27.3% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 11.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 28.0% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 29.6% | 25.9% | 22.7% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 27.3% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 67.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.