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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.82+0.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.42+2.66vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.48-0.70vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.33-0.12vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.04vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.44-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.42-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
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4.66University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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2.93Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.3Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.88McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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3.96Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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6.5Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gardner | 52.3% | 27.8% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 24.8% | 28.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 16.4% | 26.7% | 25.1% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 14.6% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Witt | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 32.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 8.3% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 76.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 24.8% | 28.7% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.