← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68+1.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.23+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University0.51-0.21vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32+0.01vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.40-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Rice University-0.36-1.88vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University0.51-4.21vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-0.40-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.64Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.3%1st Place
-
3.21University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
-
2.79Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
-
4.01Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.1%1st Place
-
4.22Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.12Rice University-0.360.1%1st Place
-
2.79Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
-
4.22Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Bethel | 27.4% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 19.5% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 25.0% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 30.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catryn Silbersack | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 25.0% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 30.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.