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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.51+1.69vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.23-0.01vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.40-0.16vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32-1.19vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.40-2.16vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.51-4.31vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.60-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.38Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.3%1st Place
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2.99University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
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3.84Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.81Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.84Texas A&M University-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.69Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.29Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Hawk | 24.3% | 25.2% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 34.6% | 24.8% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 19.3% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 29.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 23.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Pepper | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 29.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 24.3% | 25.2% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 64.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.