← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University0.51+1.81vs Predicted
-
2Rice University-0.97+2.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.23+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University-0.17-0.29vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32-0.96vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University0.51-3.19vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68-4.45vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-0.17-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.81Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
-
4.73Rice University-0.970.1%1st Place
-
3.16University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
-
3.71Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.04Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.1%1st Place
-
2.81Texas A&M University0.510.2%1st Place
-
2.55Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.3%1st Place
-
3.71Texas A&M University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Hawk | 25.0% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zelun Wang | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 46.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 18.4% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 25.0% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 29.8% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.