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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.77+1.32vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.50+2.28vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.58+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.21-0.84vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.69-1.04vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.14vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.80-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Oregon State University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.87Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.16University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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6.17Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Morrison | 36.4% | 26.9% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 29.1% | 18.8% |
| Samuel Jones | 18.9% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Starks | 10.5% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.1% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 52.7% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 20.9% | 28.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.