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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester0.42+3.69vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.82-0.25vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.42+0.69vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.33-0.10vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.48-2.67vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-3.06vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.44-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69University of Rochester0.420.1%1st Place
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1.75Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
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2.92Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Rochester0.420.1%1st Place
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4.9McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
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3.94Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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6.48Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Troche | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 29.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 53.1% | 28.0% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 17.4% | 25.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 29.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Witt | 3.3% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 23.8% | 33.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 13.4% | 18.8% | 22.0% | 22.5% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 7.1% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 75.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.