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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+4.13vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+2.09vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.80vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+1.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.35+4.34vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-0.63vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.43+0.05vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.01vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.97+2.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.65vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.67vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.26-5.43vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Old Dominion University1.5212.3%1st Place
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4.09Cornell University1.9618.4%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.8019.8%1st Place
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6.8University of Pennsylvania1.166.5%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University-0.352.2%1st Place
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6.37George Washington University1.078.1%1st Place
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8.05Columbia University0.434.6%1st Place
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8.99Christopher Newport University-0.843.6%1st Place
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12.58Princeton University-0.970.7%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College-0.271.8%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy0.264.1%1st Place
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12.72Rochester Institute of Technology-1.321.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 19.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Laura Smith | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 21.5% | 36.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Lina Carper | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 21.9% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.