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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Puget Sound1.21+2.09vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.77+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound-1.31+3.81vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.69-0.04vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.50-0.76vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.58-0.09vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.55vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.80-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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2.35Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.81University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.91Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.18Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Jones | 21.0% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Erin Morrison | 34.1% | 28.1% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 20.8% | 50.8% |
| Courtney Starks | 11.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 26.4% | 20.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.8% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 30.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.