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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.50+3.17vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.21+0.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.69-0.07vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.58+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.31+0.86vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.03-3.56vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.80-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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2.36Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.13University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.95Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.44Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.16Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Gerraty | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Erin Morrison | 34.2% | 27.1% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Jones | 20.3% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Starks | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Jin Parisien | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 28.6% | 19.3% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 50.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 17.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 29.5% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.