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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.77+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.21+1.14vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.69+0.93vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.50+0.22vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.55vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.58-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.13vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.80-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Oregon State University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.14University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.9Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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6.19Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Morrison | 37.1% | 26.9% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Jones | 19.4% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Courtney Starks | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.1% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 21.2% | 25.1% | 20.3% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 22.6% | 50.8% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 30.6% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.