← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.58+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University1.77+0.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Puget Sound1.21+0.26vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.03-0.47vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.08-1.54vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-0.58-0.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.07vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University-0.80-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
-
2.46Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
-
3.26University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
-
3.53Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
-
3.46Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
-
5.98Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.22Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kaas | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Erin Morrison | 33.6% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Jones | 18.5% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.6% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Gabe Hill | 15.7% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 27.9% | 20.4% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 22.7% | 52.1% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 30.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.