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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Puget Sound1.21+2.24vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.58+1.22vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.31+1.88vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.58-0.03vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.80-0.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.08-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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2.48Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.51Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.97Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.31Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.39Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Jones | 17.6% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Erin Morrison | 32.4% | 25.1% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 25.9% | 47.8% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 23.7% | 26.2% | 19.8% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 28.4% |
| Gabe Hill | 16.9% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.