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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.58+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.21+1.27vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+0.51vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.77-1.53vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.58+1.01vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.08-2.60vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.80-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-1.31-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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3.51Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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2.47Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.01Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.4Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.32Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Kaas | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Jones | 17.9% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 16.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Erin Morrison | 32.2% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jin Parisien | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 22.4% | 28.5% | 19.7% |
| Gabe Hill | 16.9% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 27.8% | 30.3% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 25.7% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.