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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.08+2.34vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.58+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.21+0.24vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.77-1.55vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.31+0.90vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.80-0.69vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.58-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.29Western Washington University0.580.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Puget Sound1.210.2%1st Place
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2.45Oregon State University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.53Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
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6.31Oregon State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.94Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Hill | 17.3% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Jones | 18.9% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Erin Morrison | 32.6% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 14.3% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 24.0% | 50.4% |
| Geoffrey Gonzalez | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 18.1% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 25.0% | 27.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.