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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+3.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+1.98vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+2.25vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+8.52vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+0.44vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.27+3.34vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.35+2.30vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-1.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.26-2.46vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.07-5.68vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.99vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.43-5.70vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Cornell University1.9616.3%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University1.8020.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University1.5211.2%1st Place
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12.52Princeton University-0.970.9%1st Place
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6.79University of Pennsylvania1.166.6%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.929.0%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Maritime College-0.271.7%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University-0.352.2%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.837.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy0.264.1%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University1.078.2%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University-0.843.8%1st Place
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8.3Columbia University0.433.6%1st Place
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12.63Rochester Institute of Technology-1.321.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 16.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 20.2% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 20.9% | 36.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.2% |
| Lina Carper | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 21.9% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.