← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.82+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University1.77+0.89vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.48+0.28vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+0.01vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.33-0.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester0.42-1.28vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University-1.44-0.52vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester0.42-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
-
2.89Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
-
3.28Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.01Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
-
4.86McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.72University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.48Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
-
4.72University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gardner | 54.4% | 25.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 17.4% | 25.7% | 25.5% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 11.7% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 7.3% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Witt | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 32.0% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 30.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 74.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 30.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.