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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.52vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+0.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.06vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.45vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+2.86vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.73vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.73vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.62+3.69vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+0.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.35vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine1.06-7.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.43-3.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.54-4.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.01-7.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.43-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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2.41University of Southern California2.930.4%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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5.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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12.69Arizona State University-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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12.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Irvine1.060.1%1st Place
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12.47University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at San Diego-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Los Angeles0.010.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Berkeley-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 37.3% | 26.0% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Apillanes | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Chaffey | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Barr | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Denise Martinez | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Emil Sebastian Aspelin | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.