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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.33+3.79vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.42+1.71vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.77-1.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.48-1.67vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.82-4.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.42-2.29vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.44-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79McGill University0.330.1%1st Place
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3.94Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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2.96Queen's University1.770.2%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University1.480.1%1st Place
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1.78Fordham University2.820.5%1st Place
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4.71University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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6.49Penn State University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Witt | 5.6% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 22.4% | 31.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 6.9% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 30.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 16.4% | 27.0% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Forrer | 12.8% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 21.8% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 53.1% | 25.6% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 30.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hutchison | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 75.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.