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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.80+2.92vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+4.41vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+4.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+0.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+1.53vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.12vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.27+1.22vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.35+0.34vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.97+1.55vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.43-3.98vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.26-5.36vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Georgetown University1.8019.7%1st Place
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6.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.928.2%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.1%1st Place
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4.2Cornell University1.9617.8%1st Place
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6.53George Washington University1.076.8%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.5211.6%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania1.168.2%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College-0.272.5%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University-0.352.1%1st Place
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12.55Princeton University-0.971.1%1st Place
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8.02Columbia University0.434.0%1st Place
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9.26Christopher Newport University-0.843.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy0.264.0%1st Place
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12.7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.321.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 19.7% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 17.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 21.5% | 35.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Laura Smith | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Kristen McDonough | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.